Twickenham will host a massive game on Saturday as Ulster take on Leinster, who are aiming to be crowned European Champions for the third time.
There is no doubt that Leinster are firm favourites – they have the experience, the depth in squad and the belief, however, some members of our esteemed panel believe that Ulster can still win it…
Tyrone thinks that Ulster have a chance – it’s amazing! Leinster just don’t know how to lose and I think they are just brimming with confidence. They will be up against a good Ulster team but do they have that same belief that Leinster have? I don’t think so.
Ulster have battled all the way to get here, they have done it the hard way. We want to go all the way and in a one off game anything can happen. Ulster will relish being the underdogs but they have the players to break this game wide open and on the day you just never know.
There has been a fair amount of talk about Leinster’s injuries, but Eoin O’Malley is out with his knee which only becomes a factor if Brian O’ Driscoll does not make the fitness test. You have to look at Ulster, though. Chris Henry only started straight line running at the end of last week and Stephen Ferris did not look too healthy either. For Leinster, well, Cian Healey is well over his ankle injury…
Props don’t need strong ankles to perform, do they Paul? I thought you said that Heinke van der Merwe was the better scrummager anyway? Injuries are part and parcel of chasing doubles [Leinster will take on the Ospreys in the RaboDirect Pro 12 Final a week later], they have an outstanding squad. There have been a few times this season when Leinster have gone into the week of a big game saying that they have problems. There does not seem to be anyone who is definitely out and with the quality of the medical team I would imagine that they will have close to a full-strength team out.
I don’t think injuries will be too much of a problem either – all the players on both sides will be chomping at the bit to play in this game. O’Driscoll, well we all know about his resilience, and I fully expect him to be lining up on Saturday. I’m kind of siding with Tyrone here – I think Ulster definitely have the players to upset the champions but Ruan Pienaar is going have to play the game of his life. He is an outstanding No.9. Backrows would not fear him because he does not look to make the break too often, but he controls the game so well. His main role is to get territory and he can slot anything over. He is cool, calm and collected – and he needs to be because he will have to take the pressure off young fly-half Paddy Jackson. So he has plenty of his shoulders.
I agree, Dewi, Pienaar needs to really guide this team. His field kicking has been exceptional and one area that Ulster will look to attack will be the Leinster line out so he has to find touch to make the most of that.
I know what you are saying but Leinster have a target with a great big bulls eye to aim for and it is called Ruan Pienaar. If Leinster can get to him then suddenly this game breaks up completely and it looks very difficult for Ulster to even get close. We are talking about how important he is but because of that importance he becomes a major target. I know that Sean O’Brien will want to run over Paddy Jackson but they will also be looking to get to Pienaar. Leinster will put a lot of pressure at lineouts and at breakdowns to get to Pienaar. The last two games neither Munster nor Edinburgh got anywhere near him. It will make the breakdown fascinating because they will have to throw some bodies in there. I think Shane Jennings will have a massive role just to get to him – lay into him with tackles, smack him around and really rattle him.
But as Tyrone said, the Leinster lineout is the big issue. They were poor there against Clermont Auvergne. There is an argument to go for Devin Toner to sort the lineout out. I doubt with the leadership of Leo Cullen and the physical ability in the scrum area and the breakdown of Brad Thorn that they will go away from that tried and tested combination, though. That is the area where Ulster will look to attack them which means they will be aiming to kick the ball dead a lot rather than keeping the ball alive.
It has to be a tactic to disrupt the lineout and I also think they will go for them in the scrum and breakdown. Ulster need to stem any platform that Leinster can get upfront and at the breakdown – which means a massive confrontation. How Ulster defend is also going to be the key; they have to scythe them down and take them low and then compete for the ball.
Competing at the breakdown is going to be easier said than done for Ulster, though. I agree that they have to do that but the issue there is that Leinster are not very predictable in that area. Half the time you will have Jamie Heaslip out on the touchline and every Ulster player is going to have to commit to getting stuck in and slowing the ball down. The Leinster scrum is up and down a bit and could be a potential weakness. Mike Ross has played a lot of rugby this year and it is hard to keep him strong for every single game. I am sure he will be up for this game, though. Tom Court may not be up to the level of the Clermont Auvergne loose head Lionel Faure but he is a good scrummager and will look to target Leinster in that area. So for me the key for Ulster is to attack them at the scrum and lineout and keep them under pressure at the breakdown so the backs get slow and bad ball. A strong front foot defence is needed as well.
With John Afoa in, Ulster become an even better scrummaging unit and with Rory Best at hooker that front row is pretty decent and can upset the Leinster platform.
I disagree. If Leinster can survive Clermont’s scrum then they will have no problems with Ulster’s at Twickenham. Jonny Sexton will run the show and I think that Leinster will win by 15 points… however, if Ulster upset Leinster then look out for John Afoa’s breakdown work and his defensive work. He is my key man for Ulster.
From a Leinster point of view, I say Rob Kearney is their key man – he was superb in the semi. For Ulster, well, I spoke about Pienaar earlier and I think he will help guide Ulster to a two-point win.
Rory Best for Ulster – his lineout throwing is going to be vital to keep Leinster under pressure. Plus his scrummaging ability and his support in the field is superb. I will go for Ulster by three points..
I will go with Barnsey and say Leinster – I think they will pull away at some stage of the game. The key man will probably be Jamie Heaslip. He was used last weekend in the lineout very well and will be a big option for them. When they play a loose game out wide he is superb at clearing out at the breakdown.